May 19, 2013

Facebook stock manipulation watch – all the news here.

paul lorinczi thinking about something
Image representing Mark Zuckerberg as depicted...
Image via CrunchBase

Last week, one of my Wallstreet buddies alerted me to the possibility of the Facebook IPO as being illegal stock manipulation. As the week has gone on, more and more reports have raised questions. If you are following this story like me, it is all over the place.

Forbes

Forbes has put together a good article for the laymen to understand the art of valuation. Like most things in life, it involves “math.” There is a formula that is used to predict revenue. The benchmark most are using is Google. Yet, Facebook is NOT Google. It is a Social Media site. There are more than enough examples of social media services that have come and gone. Let’s see, remember “My Space” anyone?

Business Insider

Henry Blodget at Business Insider has put together a comprehensive accounting of the questionable practices of Facebook and Morgan Stanely. In a nutshell, they helped all their buddies, but left the little investor out of the inside information. As I say to my relatives, if you don’t have the truth, how can you make informed decisions. In the case of the “Muppets” as they are called by Wallstreet insiders, they don’t count.

Reuters

While Mark Zuckerberg is getting married and becoming a billionaire, others are claiming losses of $100 million dollars. The brokers on behalf of their “Muppets” are starting to fight back. This could get messy.

More to come on this topic for sure.

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Facebook stock manipulation – Day Three

linked in stock performance - Facebook stock manipulation?

There is not much that can be added to this story from a lowly blogger like myself. But I can give you some sources that provide more details into what has transpired over the past 3 days.

FACEBOOK Stock has been trading at $32.00-32.78 all day. It is up from its close of $30.00 yesterday.

If you did not see it Monday, there is a great info graphic that allows you to track the stock price.

Facebook infographic - Facebook stock manipulation

Remember Jim Cramer from CNBC?

I hope The Daily Show picks up on this one. Here is a classic quote from a guy that should not be on television:

Any investor who can get shares of the Facebook IPO should purchase as many shares as possible, Jim Cramer said on CNBC’s “Mad Money.”

-Mad Money, CNBC

Aswath Damodaran, NYU’s legendary finance professor who has nailed other stock valuations, has his say on Facebook

In a nutshell, it is overpriced and a risky investment. He is not buying yet, unless he can get it at value.

Last but not least, there are numerous reports everywhere about lawsuits that may be pending against Facebook and Morgan Stanley. Facebook’s response to all of it, “There is no basis for the accusations.” (unless you are blind to the data).

Dealbook reports on pending litigation

Dealbook reported pretty extensively everything that has happened over the course of the past 3 days.

Atlantic Wire scolds us to say, “We Should Have Known About Facebook’s Shady IPO.”

Their article takes us through all the warning signs. Most significant, the bad data was for institutional investors. The ignored data was for the “muppets.”

Unsourced quote from Business Insider, but an insight to Wall street thinking: “The one thing we worried about most ahead of the Facebook IPO was that normal people – “Muppets” they are increasingly called on Wall Street – would gamble on a big pop and lose after getting played by the pros.”

So, why track all of this?

It’s about trust. Ironically, a former Morgan Stanley employee told me during Enron that it was the biggest event to happen outside of 9/11. Enron destroyed the investor trust. The rating agencies were giving them a thumbs up when they were always a thumbs down investment. He said Enron would have major repercussions for the market. He seems to be right. Market manipulation is obviously pretty common now.

If we are going to preach free markets and let the market decide. Facebook’s IPO should have been allowed to let the market decide. I think most people will agree that its value is far less than 28-year-old Mark Zuckerberg would like you to believe.

Now I understand the Occupy Wall Street movement a little better.

 

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Facebook Update

Facebook infographic - Facebook stock manipulation

Facebook Stock closed at $31.00 today.

There are some interesting developments on the Facebook stock story I have been covering over the past few days. Wallstreet Dealbook has reported the following.

As I mentioned yesterday in my previous report on the Facebook question, both the SEC and FINRA are indeed questioning Morgan Stanly, Facebook and NASDAQ. With all the news coming out, questions about the integrity of the market are being pursued.

Image representing Facebook as depicted in Cru...

Image via CrunchBase

As of 2:46p today, the stock is trading down once again at $31.63 down from yesterday’s close at $34.14. It just keeps on dropping. Shares dropped 11% yesterday as investors sold off their stock and the big banks stopped propping up the share price.
Earlier today, Reuters revealed that Morgan Stanley’s, the primary underwriter of the stock, Scott Devitt adjusted his revenue forecast for the stock before the launch of the IPO. Morgan Stanley bankers ignored advice from its own people who advised that demand was being overestimated leading up to the IPO, Wallstreet Dealbook reports. Here is the questionable actions that beg the question of stock manipulation.


Once again, Facebook’s stock was down 6% in early trading and continues to fall as the day goes on.
If the market is not allowed to truly determine the value of a stock, is the value being quoted real?


Have Facebook executives created hype around value that is not there?
This is very possible considering these are the folks willing to buy Instagram for $1 billion and at one time threw out a valuation for Twitter that made no sense too. It seems some investors are waking up and starting to off-load their stock.
Dealbook reports: “It’s a combination of Zuckerberg’s ego for that $100 billion market cap, and the shareholders selling who wanted an exit,” an analyst tells Bloomberg. “Somehow it just missed them that this was mispriced.”
Let’s see where this all goes. Is a social media bubble coming?

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Facebook stock price

linked in stock performance - Facebook stock manipulation?

This is to follow up on my previous post on Facebook Stock Manipulation.

Will it be like Linkedin?

linked in stock performance - Facebook stock manipulation?

Facebook Infographic providing real time stock price

Facebook infographic - Facebook stock manipulation

More to come

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Was Facebook stock being manipulated? UPDATE

Facebook bid chart for initial ipo- marketing, sales and art of persuasion
Facebook IPO -- you provide the data and they ...

There is a chart that was distributed by Twitter user  @bourbon_meyer that demonstrates why Facebook’s stock stayed at $38.00.

It suggests there was some stock manipulation happening. The way to read it is see that smaller bids were run over by massive bids at the higher price. Were the underwriters of the IPO making sure their client’s stock price stayed at $38? Personally, I think Facebook is overpriced and overvalued. You have to wonder if it is not for good reason.

I wonder if the SEC will look into what has happened. It does look fishy.

Even the NY Post is reporting that the big banks bailed out the IPO.

Update:

This story is starting to get more traction. There are firm reports that show how big banks bought large amounts of stock to keep the price at $38.00. The lead bank, Morgan Stanley, who is also the underwriter, bought 64 million shares to prop up the price.

Bloomberg news reported on Morgan Stanley Saturday with details of the stock purchase.

The other question is why was there a glitch in the NASDAQ opening? NASDAQ is claiming a software glitch. There is speculation that FINRA may be opening an investigation. While there are no public reports of this, speculation from industry insiders say this is quite possible.

 

Facebook bid chart for initial ipo- marketing, sales and art of persuasion

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